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The yield can be determined as
0088-01.gif
This describes a Poisson distribution of defects.
Now
0088-02.gif
so that if rD is the defect density per unit area, then
0088-03.gif
For large wafers the diameter of the wafer is significantly larger than the die side and
0088-04.gif
and
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so that
0088-06.gif
Figure 2.20 shows die yield as a function of rDA, the Poisson defect distribution. This is known to be a somewhat pessimistic model of yield; a more accurate estimate is also shown. For the processor designer, the issue is area. Doubling the area has significantly more effect on yield for already large rDA (i.e., » 510 or more). Thus, the large die designer gambles that technology will lower rD in time to provide a sufficient yield for a profitable product.
Die Cost
Die cost is determined by area in two ways. One, as die area increases, fewer die are realized from a fixed size wafer. Two, as per our previous discussion, as the die area increases the yield decreases. This combination of effects is illustrated in the following example:
EXAMPLE 2.2
Assume a wafer has diameter of 21 cm and costs $5,000 for a particular production run. Compute the cost per die for die area =2.3 cm2 and for 1 cm2 if rD = 1 defect/cm2.

 
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